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Marek's avatar

Thank you, Paul! I see that FAD multiples are smaller than FFO multiples for net lease REITs. Can you comment on that?

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Paul Drake's avatar

Yes that aspect is strange. A significant factor is that FFO treats (non-cash) stock-based compensation as an expense while FAD does not. For most REIT sectors this is in the noise, but the net lease REITs are so simple that it comes through.

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Wally's avatar

Another great article Paul, interest rates have always been key to real estate value as expressed by cap rates. For me two things matter the most - management and growth. It's why I like ADC. Also, the one variable that you can't model is acquisitions.

Look forward to reading 'The Price of Time'. You may enjoy reading one of my favorites 'Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk' by Peter L. Bernstein.

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Paul Drake's avatar

Thanks, Wally. You can model acquisitions but need to make assumptions -- cap rate and associated debt. What you can't model is whether the stock markets will permit accretive use of issued stock to support acquisitions.

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SHAWN's avatar

Thank you Paul. "Overall, most REITs today are fairly valued or modestly undervalued." . Exactly. As such I am particularly picky about price. I will miss a good opp if I can't get it for a good price. Can't see cap rates returning to their lows anytime this decade.

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Paul Drake's avatar

I tend to agree but know that my crystal ball is cloudy. Still, Mr. Market is likely to give us some good buying opportunities no matter what cap rates do.

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